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Who's In and Who's Out? Notes on Tomorrow’s S&P 500 / Index Changes

Top Candidates for Moves Between the Large / Mid / Small Cap Indices + Reaction Expectations

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Consensus Media
Sep 04, 2026
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Tomorrow at 5:15PM ET we get the quarterly update to the constituents of the S&P 500, the Mid Cap 400, and the Small Cap 600 indices. Per usual, this announcement will drive large, non-fundamental flows and distort prices across the board. This post outlines top eligible candidates for moves between each of the lists as well as over a decade of reaction data that shines a light on counter intuitive and therefore potentially profitable trading strategies.

The Candidates

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